Tomorrow’s Trends

“NO! Don’t go in there! You don’t have to die! No one has to die at 30! You could live! LIVE! Live, and grow old! I’ve seen it! She’s seen it!” – Logan, “Logan’s Run,” MGM, 1976

A few Saturdays back I visited consumer electronics stores/departments to research buying patterns/activities.

There was a lot of showrooming – using the mobile device to check reviews, store/product comments, competitive pricing – but with price matching being almost universal, we didn’t see anyone leave the store to buy somewhere else.

They were there to buy!

If I was intent on selling a product/device today, the sweet spot would be Millenials/Gen Xers (24-49).

But even these people had help:

–          A father struggled with several different tablets to determine which was best for him and after getting very frustrated, his son (8-12) took it, showed him all the features and advised him which to buy … he took the advice

–          On three occasions, I saw youngsters (5-10) walk up to monitors and TV sets and attempt to move images around

A friend told me about their 4-year-old and the family tablet:

–          He could only use it for an hour a day to play games

–          The father found him going online and getting other stuff so he moved the kids favorites into an encrypted folder and he could use them by being good otherwise…

–          The father went to use the tablet for some downtime and the little urchin had deleted 10 of dad’s games.  NBD?  He had to go through two steps each to delete them and dad had never shown him how to do it!!!

So if you want to develop the next killer product, don’t waste your time with a focus group, spend your time in school (K-12) studying how Gen C (the connected generation) uses/interacts with their devices.

You know they’re out there, you struggle on how to reach them, you try to figure out what makes them buy and what drives them to recommend their purchases to others. 

More importantly, if you can earn their loyalty, they can be customers longer and they seem to have the greatest influence with both boomers and tomorrow’s up-and-comers.

Age of Influence – The connected generation (Gen C) never knew life without being constantly connected to everyone, everywhere. They’re more casual about their personal information, have a strong influence on boomers and often guide others’ purchases.

Whether it’s your kids or a friend’s kids, the first thing you notice is – they’re different.

They’re connected almost every waking hour, according to a recent Wikia report.

Jessica tried to tell them, “We’ve been outside! There’s another world outside! We’ve seen it!”

Today’s teens are very multicultural and, according to the U.S. Census, in the next few decades, African-Americans, Asian-Americans and Hispanics will represent the majority of the U.S. population. 

They already have solid purchasing power: 29 percent live in high-income households and while there has been an increase in middle income households, there are fewer in low-income homes. 

Busy Kids – If you observe teens/pre-teens at home, at school, everywhere; you may wonder when they are disconnected. It turns out they aren’t very often. 

Fully 95 percent of teens are online and that percentage that has been consistent since 2006. However, the way they use the Internet has changed dramatically during that period and it is going to accelerate.

Teens and pre-teens drive the number of devices that are used in the household. 

Average of Five – In the U.S., the average household with children has five mobile devices. In other countries, the average is three. They use them from the moment they get up until the time they go to bed. In between, they’re also busy with their other entertainment-connected devices.

Teens have represented the leading edge of mobile connectivity and they will have a profound effect on the sale/adoption of wearable technology. 

The Old Man looked at the devices and said, “Well, that’s what she told me. I have to, I have to believe her.”

I’m not enthused about things like Google Glass or the iWatch but the Nike Fuel Band and Pebble Watch are finding their champions in the younger crowd, so expect to see a lot of wearables at next year’s Consumer Electronic Show (CES).

For now, teens are more likely to have a cell phone (increasingly, a smartphone) and while they have a desktop/laptop computer available to them at home, the phone is becoming their always-on, mobile access to the Internet.

Whether they are “forced” to rely on a feature phone or can get a smartphone is always a factor of the device’s cost. But it is far from the only consideration. How they weigh the various features and make their purchasing decision varies.

Different Strokes – Life for design/development engineers would be a lot simpler if everyone, everywhere liked the same things; unfortunately, that’s not the case–especially when it comes to Gen Cers and their smartphones. Price is always an important consideration but in various countries, more importance is placed on their buying criteria.

The operating system (OS) really doesn’t have much to do with which phone is selected (of course, it’s important to Apple, Google, MS and …). The decision has much more to do with style, look/feel and word of mouth recommendations. 

Among teens, smartphones in the Americas have increased to over 53 percent, according to Pew Research; and they’re going to continue to serve as their primary point of access for years to come. 

The newest addition to their backpacks is the Tablet. Nearly one in four teens uses them for games, videos, school work, staying in touch. 

Everything – Asking Gen Cers to give up their smartphones is like asking them to completely cut themselves off from the world. The smartphone is their go-to device for connecting with others and keeping current. What they do very seldom is use it to make a phone call.

In addition to spending more time online, teens are sharing more information about themselves on social media sites than they did in the past. However, they’re also taking a variety of technical and non-technical steps to manage the privacy of that information.

Despite what government rulemakers and parents seem to feel when it comes to teen privacy, they are largely unconcerned about third-party people accessing their information. In fact, according to Pew Research, only 9 percent say they are very concerned.

That’s probably because as Logan said, “There… is… no… sanctuary.”

It’s probably a good thing, according to a recent study of teens’ Facebook pages by “The New York Times.”

Reduced Privacy – Teens and pre-teens monitor their Facebook and other pages very closely; and increasingly, publish more and more personal information. At the same time, they also feel they are better equipped to manage who views their personal information.

Teen social media profiles have really expanded: 

• 91% post a photo of themselves, up from 79% a few years ago
• 71% post their school name, up from 49%
• 71% post the city or town where they live, up from 61%
• 53% post their email address, up from 29%
• 20% post their cell phone number, up from 2%

In addition, they have expanded their profiles:

• 92% post their real name
• 84% post interests —  movies, music, books
• 82% post their birth date
• 62% post their relationship status
• 24% post videos of themselves

That’s more than I’d do but they’re more aware of their online reputations and spend a lot of time creating their content and social media presence.

As Logan commented, “It was the debriefing, uh… it was more complicated than usual.”

Sixty percent of teen Facebook users set their profiles to private (friends only), and most report high levels of confidence in their ability to manage their settings.

• 56% of teen Facebook users say it’s “not difficult at all” to manage the privacy controls
• 33% of Facebook-using teens say it’s “not too difficult”
• 8% of teen Facebook users say that managing their privacy controls is “somewhat difficult”
• less than 1% describe the process as “very difficult”

While it may seem as though they watch a lot of TV, they’re much more likely to watch video content with their mobile device.

Nielsen, the content monitoring folks, once called teens the YouTube generation because they get most of their news and entertainment from video content sites around the globe.

Let Me Entertain You – Teens/pre-teens have led the way for video content everywhere, for everyone. Globally, they have led the way for everyone to shoot, create and post content – more than 100 hours of video on YouTube every minute in addition to posting to Facebook and other photo/video sites and their personal pages.

The Digital Natives don’t watch TV on someone else’s schedule.

More than 70 percent regularly view their content on YouTube and want to move their content from platform to platform without restrictions.

But according to a Weber Communications study, they aren’t just content consumers:

–          39% remix online content with their own

–          64% participate in content-creation activities

–          45% share their creations online

While teens spend a lot of time talking face to face with friends, they aren’t into making a lot of calls (especially to parents).

But in Nielsen’s survey, teens averaged 320MB of data per month on their phone which was a sharper increase than any other age group. They preferred email/messaging because it was faster (22%), easier (21%), more fun (18%).

And while their average is 500 Facebook friends, 29 percent wished they could “unfriend” their parents.

Of course, that may change as they get older and find out the folks weren’t as dumb as they thought.

Or, it will be as Jessica 6 said, “A friend of mine went on carousel. Now he’s gone.”

As smartphones and tablet sales continue to increase, analysts still believe that in addition to adding their wearable device, they will also add a laptop/notebook system to their digital arsenal.

There are a lot of computer manufacturers and suppliers working very hard to entice them!

It’s not rocket science … all you have to do is watch, listen, deliver!

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G.A. “Andy” Marken

President

Marken Communications, Inc.

Andy@markencom.com